臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

經濟的進步，帶動台灣公共衛生、醫療保健與國民生活水準的提升，使得現今國民主要死因與早年的台灣相比差異甚大。景氣波動不只對就業者的影響，也會使因失業造成其家庭的可支配所得的運用，進而影響到個人與家庭成員的健康。

本研究利用民國 86 至 97 年行政院衛生署之「死因檔」與行政院主計處之「台灣地區社會指標統計年報」與「台灣地區家庭收支調查報告」，建構台灣地區 23個縣市失業率與各種疾病死亡率的追蹤資料（panel data），利用「固定效果模型」（fixed effect model）探討景氣波動對於對死亡率的影響。

在控制各縣市的特徵變數以及時間效果之後，實證結果發現，發現失業率變動對於 25-44 歲青壯年的死亡率影響最大，失業率對於 25-44 歲總死亡率、25-44歲意外事故死亡率與 25-44 歲慢性肝病與肝硬化死亡率都呈負相關。而糖尿病死亡率在三個年齡層與失業率都有顯著正相關，顯示失業率對於慢性疾病死亡率仍有其影響。顯示失業率對於死亡率之影響會因為死因類別的不同而有不同的變動。

In this study, we examined the total mortality and eight of the ten sources of fatalities and unemployment rates in Taiwan from 1997 to 2008. We also focused on the correlation between total mortality and eight of the ten sources of fatalities in Taiwan and the annual unemployment rates during the study period. In this paper, we establish the panel data of county’s mortality and county’s unemployment rate for the period 1997-2008. We depart from previous studies by looking at the mortality of cohorts of different ages, and we use fixed effect model to control for heterogeneity.

The results show that under the control of year effect and county characteristic
variables, the unemployment rates is positive and statistically significantly correlated with diabetes mortality in 25-44 year olds, 45-64 year olds, and age 65 or older. Since young adults have the highest rates of labor force participation and are most affected by unemployment rate in fatalities are largest for them. We also find that the unemployment is negative and statistically significantly correlated with total mortality, accident mortality and chronic liver disease and cirrhosis mortality in 25-44 year olds.

目錄

第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的 6
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 前言 7
第二節 景氣與國民生理健康 7
第三節 景氣與心理健康的關聯 12
第四節 小結 13
第三章 實證模型 14
第一節 前言 14
第二節 固定效果模型 15
第四章 資料來源與變數說明 16
第一節 資料來源 16
第二節 變數說明 17
第五章 實證結果說明 26
第一節 前言 26
第二節 各縣市總死亡率與主要死因死亡率 26
第三節 各縣市總死亡率與主要死因死亡率─依年齡層分 30
第四節 小結 44
第六章 結論 45
參考文獻 48
附錄 52

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