臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

本研究之研究目的為探討經濟因素對越南稻米出口數量的影響，本研究對從2007年1月至2016年12月這十年間，中國和菲律賓兩個國家的國內生產總值(GDP)、人口數、進口國貨幣率和原油價格四個因素進行研究。
本研究提出多元回歸模型來分析自變量和因變量的相關性，並透過F檢定進行驗證，該模型需要使用編碼至計算機進行計算，所以本研究使用Excel的Visual Basis進行編碼運算。
測試結果顯示，越南水稻出口量與四個因子的關係呈線性關係，並從結果知道，中國和菲律賓的國內生產總值(GDP)與越南稻米出口數量有相關，中國人口數與越南水稻出口量有相關，但是，菲律賓人口數與越南稻米出口量無相關，原油價格和外匯匯率兩個因素對越南出口水稻至中國和菲律賓的數量無關。

The essence of this study is to reveal the effects of Economic Factors to Exports Quantities of Rice in Vietnam. Four factors including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population of Import countries, foreign exchange rate of currency between Vietnam and Import countries and crude oil price are studied in this research. Two main trading countries; China and Philippines, are included in this research. A 10-year period is covered from January 2007 to December 2016.
Multiple regression models are proposed in this study to analyze the correlation of independent variable and dependent variables. The significance of the Multiple regression models will be verified by F-test. The model deals with a large number of computations that need to code into computer program. The Visual Basis on Excel is selected to code the proposed model.
The result showed that the relationship among exporting volume of rice in Vietnam and four factors is linear. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of China and Philippines are correlated to the amount of exports of rice from Vietnam to those countries. The population of China are correlated to the quantity of exports of rice in Vietnam. However, the population of Philippines are not correlated to the volume of exports of rice in Vietnam. The crude oil price and the foreign exchange rate of currency is not related to quantity of rice that Vietnam exports to China and Philippines.

摘要......i
Abstract......ii
Acknowledgements......iv
Table of Content......v
List of Tables......vii
List of Figures......viii
Chapter 1 Introduction......1
1.1 Overview of rice production and exporting in Vietnam......1
1.2 Overview of rice market in the world and key importers of Vietnam......8
1.3 Research objective......14
1.4 Conceptual Framework......14
Chapter 2 Literature review......15
2.1 General Rice Industry in Vietnam......15
2.2 Rice trading in Vietnam......17
2.3 Factors affecting Rice Export......20
2.3.1 The Real Gross Domestic......20
2.3.2 Population......21
2.3.3 Foreign exchange rate......22
2.3.4 Crude oil price......23
Chapter 3 Data and Methodology......26
3.1 Data source......26
3.2 Data Analysis......26
3.3 Coding of Proposed model......29
Chapter 4 Results and Discussion......31
4.1 Terminology of Data Analysis......31
4.2 Results of Data Analysis......31
4.3 Verification of Hypotheses......37
Chapter 5 Conclusion and Suggestions......40
5.1 Conclusions......40
vi
5.2 Limitation of the study......41
5.3 Suggestion for Further Studies......41
Reference......42
Appendix I: Secondary data of China 2007-2016......45
Appendix II: Secondary data of Philippines 2007-2016......50
Appendix III Coding......55
Extended Abstract......59

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